Ode to Nate Silver

Republicans are stunned at their 2012 election losses, which is astonishing as the famous odds maker, Nate Silver, precisely predicted the outcome. He failed this year in only one senate race where Heidi Heitkamp, a Democratic candidate for Senate, pulled a win in N Dakota, a solidly red state. The Republicans should have paid attention to Nate Silver, and the Huffington Post pollsters, and all the election predictors which invariably pick the winner - gas station coffee cups, Holloween masks, campaign button sales, and the likability factor. 

Is Election Predictor Nate Silver A Witch?
November 7, 2012
http://techcrunch.com/2012/11/07/nate-silver-as-software/

And Nate Silver is a scientist. One whose ability to predict the outcome of elections is so precise, it’s nearly indistinguishable from magic. He crunches massive data sets to come to his conclusions.

The Mitt Romney Electoral College Big Win Forecast That Fizzled
November 7, 2012
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/08/mitt-romney-electoral-college-win_n_2093207.html

The University of Colorado political science professor who mined economic data to predict that Republican nominee Mitt Romney would win the presidential election with 330 electoral votes today joked. the professors had forecast electoral wins for Romney in the battleground states -- including Colorado, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Iowa, Virginia and Ohio, all states that were claimed by President Barack Obama on Tuesday night. The model underestimated Obama by about 5 to 6 percentage points in the swing states. Nate Silver, who runs the New York Times-hosted FiveThirtyEight blog, has been heralded for accurately calling all 50 states correctly.

But instead, the Republican’s had their own number crunchers, and were dashed when the results came in. Karl Rove, who presided over Republican elections when the Diebold voting machines were in place, with no paper trail and flipping totals, was left red faced trying to explain how he could have deployed $300,000,000 in donor funds while delivering only 1% of expected results. Perhaps he expected some dirty tricks to work, and they failed to deliver. 

Mitt Romney 'Shellshocked' After Lost Election
November 8, 2012
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/08/mitt-romney-lost-election_n_2095013.html

As returns came in and battleground states went into President Barack Obama's Electoral College column, they felt their paths to potential victory narrowing. The campaign was unprepared for this in part because it had ignored polling that showed the races favoring Obama. Instead, it turned to its own internal "unskewed" polls, which it believed more accurately reflected the situation on the ground. They didn't. On the eve of the election, a number of polling aggregators, including HuffPost's Pollster and New York Times' FiveThirtyEight, showed Obama with a huge statistical advantage over Romney.

Karl Rove, American Crossroads Spin GOP Election Losses
November 8, 2012
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/08/karl-rove-american-crossroads_n_2092523.html

No one lost as much on election night as Karl Rove. Although he wasn't running for office, his Crossroads organizations spent more than $300 million on Republican candidates in the 2012 election, with some of the biggest spenders in the conservative movement putting their hopes - and dollars - in the care of Rove. Combined, his groups were the largest single outside force of the 2012 election. The results were bleak. According to the Sunlight Foundation, American Crossroads, Rove's super PAC, saw just a 1 percent return on its investments.

Nate Silver was pilloried by the Republicans, despite his superb reputation during prior elections. 

Fantasyland
November 9, 2012
http://nymag.com/news/frank-rich/gop-denial-2012-11/index1.html

Conservative commentators disgorged thousands and thousands of words to impugn Silver as a liberal hack, accusing him of slanting the facts to fit a political bias. Freud couldn’t have imagined a clearer case study in projection. For backup, the anti-Silver forces turned to the likes of Jay Cost of The Weekly Standard and Real Clear Politics, whose learned, lengthy, and chart-laden explanations of why Silver and the polls were wrong could be considered scientific in the same way creation science is. An even sadder case was Michael Barone, the once-respected co-author of The Almanac of American Politics who in 2008 compared Sarah Palin to FDR and who this year abandoned his fact-based standard for a faith-based standard underestimating minority turnout; he predicted a 315 electoral-vote victory for Romney. Like Rove, Barone called nearly every battleground state wrong. (The professional pollster most admired by the right, the GOP-leaning Rasmussen, didn’t bat much higher.) Silver got all 50 states right. Some of Silver’s detractors didn’t bother to concoct their own bogus analyses but just tried to defame and bully him.

Per the Zetas, there was never any question. They predicted an Obama win in July, 2012. And the Puppet Master put his muscle behind a fair election again, countering fraud.

ZetaTalk Prediction 7/23/2012: The rich are considered the 1%, with those affected by draconian austerity measures the 99%. Do the math.

ZetaTalk Prediction 10/27/2012: Given the well documented history of Republican attempt to manipulate the Presidential election, how will the 2012 election fare? During the 2000 election, it was abundantly clear that massive numbers of votes for Gore were dumped. Jed Bush was the Governor of Florida, and had promised the state to his brother. And when the State Supreme Court ruled that a recount should occur, the Republican leaning US Supreme Court stepped in to stop the recount. Gore lost the Presidency by a count of some 537 votes, though had won the popular vote by 300,000. By 2004 the Republicans won due to manipulation of the totals by the Diebold voting machines. Since recounts were impossible without paper trails, the election of Bush once again stood.

The enraged Puppet Master, who wanted Bush out of office for any number of reasons, stepped into the fray in 2006, with the assistance of ourselves and Nancy interpreting our words, to ensure that the will of the people prevailed. This procedure, so very successful, was repeated in 2006 and 2008, else the popular Obama would never have won, and in 2010. We predicted in July that Obama would win in 2012, and this prediction still stands, despite Republicans in state government positions attempting to suppress votes and the hiring of firms that destroy voter registration forms. Voter suppression has been countered by injunctions from federal judges, in the main, and the criminal destruction of registration forms likewise countered with exposure and arrests.

But by appearances, Romney is getting the popular vote, so why would he not win? The polls are not accurate, heavily skewed by Rasmussen and other deliberately right leaning polling firms. This is deliberate so that if the Republicans manage to manipulate the vote counts the public will not be surprised. Remove these errant counts from the polling averages and you see the true leaning of the public. Despite these attempts, the electoral map, based on polling averages, shows that Obama will win handily and the odds makers have never said otherwise. Any plans to manipulate the outcome is known by us, and we and Nancy are working with the Puppet Master to ensure a valid election.

Big and Bold

As frequently happens with photos of the Planet X complex around the Sun, several different photographers in different parts of the world captured the same massive and intensely bright Moon Swirl above the Sun at the same time in early November. As the Pole Shift ning blog shows, photos taken in Idaho on 11/8/2012 at 4:51 pm, Malaysia on 11/5/2012 at 11:59 am, and Italy on 11/6/2012 at 1:53 pm show a particularly bright Moon Swirl making an appearance above the Sun. Note that the slant of the ecliptic changes during the day, slanting in the Northern Hemisphere from lower left to upper right in the early morning, to straight across at high noon, to upper left to lower right in the evening. Thus the orb seen in Idaho at sundown is likely the same orb Alberto and Malaysia captured at noon.

Bow Stress

The N American continent is being forced into a bow shape during the 7 of 10 plate movements, Mexico pulled to the West while Alaska is held in place firmly by the flat top of the plate, which cannot roll. Endless examples of this bow stress on the N American continent have been documented, as Issue 191 shows in 2010 and Issue 301 details in July, 2012. The recent example of the Louisiana sinkhole in Issue 309 is certainly a result of the bow stress.


ZetaTalk Explanation 2/10/2006: The giant plates of N America and Eurasia are locked against each other, unable to rotate against each other due to their shape. Slip-slide along the West Coast, measured as a creep by geologists, is due only to slight adjustments along that edge of the plate, primarily due to adjustments within the small plates to the west of the N American plate, which move to accommodate pressure. The N American plate does not move, pre se, but other dramas occur. New England is pulled to the east while Mexico is pulled to the West, so the New Madrid is put under slip-slide stress where one half, east of the Mississippi, will move toward the NE while the other, west of the Mississippi, moves toward the SW.

But nothing could be more clear than the simultaneous bow stress on each end of the bow between October 24, 2012 to November 8, 2012 – from Guatemala to the Queen Charlotte Islands off coast from British Columbia.  There were hints this was coming on September 5, 2012 with the 7.9 quake on the Costa Rico coastline, detailed in Issue 316 of this newsletter.

DATE                  MAG    REGION
08-NOV-2012 02:01:51  6.3    VANCOUVER ISLAND REGION
30-OCT-2012 02:49:02  6.2    QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
28-OCT-2012 18:54:21  6.3    QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
28-OCT-2012 03:04:10  7.7    QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION

DATE                  MAG    REGION
07-NOV-2012 16:35:47  7.4    NEAR COAST OF GUATEMALA
24-OCT-2012 00:45:36  6.6    COSTA RICA 
                     

Echoing the significant quakes on both ends of the bow are buoy 42412 off the tip of Mexico  and buoy 46419 off Vancouver, showing a rise in the ocean floor in those regions.  Can the New Madrid adjustment be far behind?



ZetaTalk Description 3/19/2011: As both sides of the New Madrid Fault Line are pulled in opposite directions, the entire fault line operates as a slip-slide fault line. In that the land just to the west of the Mississippi River moves the greatest distance, to ease the pressure on the bow currently formed by the N American continent, this creates a void, a stretch zone void, causing the land there to drop, as we have explained. This is the region currently experiencing precursor earthquakes, the region considered the New Madrid region. But the movement is not yet happening, the void not yet being created. Instead, occasional slight slip-slide adjustments are being made, deep within the rock strata, causing minor quake swarms or sympathetic jolts in neighboring areas. The rock fingers are slipping, but not losing their grip.

When the plate tearing starts in earnest, these slip-slide jolts will be huge, and rise up to the magnitude 8-9 range, as we have stated. These quakes will ride up to the bend in the fault line just south of Lake Michigan. Earthquake damage is primarily done when the rock close to the surface is affected, as is known by man. The quality of the rock along the fault line thus affects the shaking and resulting damage to the surface. A glance at a map of the geology of the fault line shows that the rock along the Mississippi at Arkansas and Missouri is younger, laid down by sediment, and tends to fracture broadly, thus relaying earthquake jolts over a vast area. Broad fractures also cause post quake adjustments, so the quake includes rock shuffling, all of which translates to a larger magnitude for the area. Thus, the worst of the New Madrid adjustment will be felt in this area.

The rock strata that hold Illinois and Indiana is older, and more solid. Fracturing of the rock tends to be a single jolt, not the multiple ricocheting jolts that magnify any adjustment in the rock strata experienced by the rock strata in Arkansas and Missouri. The magnitude will still be considered high, perhaps an 8, but the shaking will not last as long, and the damage therefore not as great. Were the bend in the fault line just south of Lake Michigan not at a point where the southeastern part of the US is dropping away from the Seaway, the damage along the Seaway would be much greater. The Equator is expanding in the center of the Atlantic, and has already, by this time, ripped open between S America and Africa. The southeast thus drops toward this void, relieving pressure and friction along the slip-slide in the fault line as it runs under the Seaway.

By the time the New Madrid adjustment reaches the bend, land to the west of the Mississippi has already dropped, pulled away, but this actually puts more pressure on the fault line as it runs under Michigan. This holds, momentarily, while the southeast starts to drop toward the Atlantic Rift, and then pulls apart sharply. Here, beneath Michigan, the jolts will also not last for long, and will also be considered up to magnitude 8. The fault line thence along the Seaway will unzip, along rock strata borders already established. Where stretch zones such as this normally have adjustments that are basically silent, they do much damage. The unzipping creates crevasses and landslides and sinkholes, and when this occurs under cities is devastating. The quakes will be considered much less than magnitude 8 but the damage will be greater, with consequent lost of life and infrastructure. A building that has collapsed because of a large jolt is no different than one that has collapsed because the ground beneath it sank.

As is known, there is a fault line running up along the East Coast of the US that attaches to the New Madrid fault line in the Gulf. Both fault lines touch there, in the Gulf, and when the New Madrid adjusts there is a sympathetic adjustment up along this fault line. During the last New Madrid adjustment, church bells rang in Boston and cracks appeared in buildings in Savannah, GA and Charleston, SC. These changes are caused by earthquakes equivalent to a magnitude 4-5 or less, not serious.

Mammoth Teen Unthaws

Mammoth carcasses, frozen solid, continue to be discovered in Siberia. In 1999 an adult was discovered in Khatanga, inside the Arctic circle. In 2007 a baby mammoth was discovered in northern Siberia. And now, also in northern Siberia, a mammoth teen has been discovered. These large elephants are herbivores. What did they eat for their last meal? They clearly did not starve to death. They clearly did not die of old age. So what killed them?   

Well-Preserved Mammoth Carcass Found in Siberia
October 5, 2012
http://news.yahoo.com/well-preserved-mammoth-carcass-found-siberia-121929576.html

Prof. Alexei Tikhonov of the Zoology Institute in St. Petersburg announced the finding of the mammoth, which was excavated from the Siberian permafrost in late September near the Sopochnaya Karga cape, 3,500 kilometers (2,200 miles) northeast of Moscow. Woolly mammoths are thought to have died out around 10,000 years ago, although scientists think small groups of them lived longer in Alaska and on Russia's Wrangel Island off the Siberian coast. Their bodies have mostly been found in the Siberian permafrost.

Baby Mammoth Discovery Unveiled
10 July 2007
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6284214.stm

The six-month-old female calf was discovered on the Yamal peninsula of Russia and is thought to have died 10,000 years ago. The animal's trunk and eyes are still intact and some of its fur remains on the body. In terms of its state of preservation, this is the world's most valuable discovery. The 130cm (4ft 3ins) tall, 50kg Siberian specimen dates to the end of the last Ice Age, when the great beasts were vanishing from the planet. It was discovered by a reindeer herder in May this year. Yuri Khudi stumbled across the carcass near the Yuribei River, in Russia's Yamal-Nenets autonomous district. What caused their widespread disappearance at the end of the last Ice Age remains unclear.

Mammoth Comes in from the Cold
Oct 21, 1999
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/481571.stm

The remains, encased in a 20-tonne block of ice and soil, with two huge, curled tusks jutting out, were flown on Sunday, slung beneath a helicopter, 320km (200 miles) to Khatanga, inside the Arctic Circle. The scientists are using a dry, cold cave at Khatanga to continue their studies.

This issue was last covered in this newsletter in Issue 33, in 2007. The steady thawing that has taken place in the Arctic is undoubted a factor in the discovery of these carcasses, as the smell of decay was a factor in this latest discovery. But what caused them to be frozen solid for thousands of years? Here’s a clue. They are estimated, by carbon dating, to have died out on Wrangle Island in the polar circle only 3,700 years ago, and to have arrived at Wrangle Island 7,390 years ago. Those sound like multiples of the 3,600 year passage of Planet X!  Per the Zetas, 7,200 years ago Wrangle Island became our N Pole and then this moved to Greenland 3,600 years ago. It appears the mammoth scrambled onto Wrangle Island to escape the sloshing Arctic, and then died out eating the remaining dried grass in the tundra. The young mammoths now being discovered are estimated to have died 10,000 years ago in North Central Siberia, another multiple of 3,600 (times three is 10,800 years).  Per the Zetas, the crust shifted at that time to place the N Pole over North Central Siberia. Suddenly bitter cold, and perhaps flooded to the point of drowning by the sloshing Arctic, they remained frozen until this day.

The Mammoth Riders
http://www.geocities.com/gardenofdanu/The_Mammoth_Riders.htm

Wrangle Island is 120 miles off the coast of Siberia. Fossil remains of six foot tall, two ton, woolly mammoths found there have been carbon-dated to only 3,700 years ago, formerly considered "dwarf" mammoths, but more recently considered to simply be a slightly smaller species. The carbon dating of the fossil remains indicates the mammoths lived on Wrangle Island from 7,390 BP.

ZetaTalk Explanation 2/15/2002: As we have stated in ZetaTalk, the prior shift moved the North Pole from Greenland to its present location. Prior to that, it was over the East Siberian Sea, having pulled Siberia northward where the largest number of mammoth dieoff occurred.

ZetaTalk Explanation 7/14/2007: Approximately 10,800 years ago the pole shift that caused the Biblical Flood occurred, moving Siberia northward and causing a massive dieoff in the mammoth population. This time frame coincided with the end of what mankind terms its last Ice Age, which was in fact just a movement of the crust which placed France under the Sun again. How could it be that Siberia hosted vast grasslands for these mammoth herbivores, while at the same latitude France was frozen! Did the Sun wink off for France, and back on for Siberia?

Per Velikovsky in his book Earth in Upheaval, chapter on Extinction, extinctions have happened regularly due to the periodic passage of Planet X. The mammoth were not the only species to be stuck by sudden climate change. Our own polar bears are at risk, for instance, as the Arctic is due to become very tropical.

A considerable group have become extinct virtually within the last few thousand years. The large mammals that died out in America include all the camels, all the horses, all the ground sloths, two genera of musk-oxen, peccaries, certain antelopes, a giant bison with a horn spread of six feet, a giant beaverlike animal, a stag-moose, and several kinds of cats, some of which were of lion size. Animals, strong and vigorous, suddenly died out without leaving a survivor.  The end came, not in the course of the struggle for existence - with the survival of the fittest.  Fit and unfit, and mostly fit, old and young, with sharp teeth, with strong muscles, with fleet legs, and plenty of food around, all perished.  They died as if a wind had snuffed life out of all of them, leaving their cadavers, with no sign of degeneration, in asphalt pits, in bogs, in sediment, and in caverns.